Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.047368 0.051522 0.055730 0.060305 0.065133 0.070068 0.075488
2024-10-13 0.041231 0.047396 0.053872 0.061153 0.069085 0.077437 0.086870
2024-10-20 0.035368 0.042843 0.050962 0.060372 0.070915 0.082301 0.095466
2024-10-27 0.031699 0.040262 0.049844 0.061245 0.074324 0.088749 0.105749
2024-11-03 0.027923 0.037159 0.047798 0.060776 0.075996 0.093103 0.113608
2024-11-10 0.025169 0.034978 0.046581 0.061053 0.078355 0.098125 0.122167
2024-11-17 0.023112 0.033434 0.045947 0.061868 0.081228 0.103667 0.131294
2024-11-24 0.022377 0.033453 0.047145 0.064845 0.086655 0.112215 0.143982
2024-12-01 0.019540 0.030537 0.044492 0.062911 0.086001 0.113441 0.147956
2024-12-08 0.017612 0.028665 0.043026 0.062333 0.086901 0.116451 0.153998
2024-12-15 0.016003 0.027096 0.041843 0.062015 0.088042 0.119697 0.160293
2024-12-22 0.015494 0.027021 0.042604 0.064190 0.092322 0.126807 0.171322
2024-12-29 0.014581 0.026333 0.042537 0.065314 0.095340 0.132477 0.180768
2025-01-05 0.013657 0.025563 0.042312 0.066200 0.098047 0.137782 0.189822
2025-01-12 0.012264 0.023982 0.040868 0.065370 0.098470 0.140189 0.195277
2025-01-19 0.011525 0.023353 0.040728 0.066289 0.101173 0.145489 0.204374
2025-01-26 0.010447 0.022097 0.039612 0.065792 0.101954 0.148306 0.210344
2025-02-02 0.009677 0.021280 0.039087 0.066083 0.103760 0.152433 0.217978
2025-02-09 0.009118 0.020770 0.038984 0.066944 0.106320 0.157532 0.226862
2025-02-16 0.009158 0.021289 0.040456 0.070085 0.112026 0.166779 0.241124
2025-02-23 0.007981 0.019575 0.038405 0.068045 0.110549 0.166569 0.243200
2025-03-02 0.007224 0.018548 0.037367 0.067435 0.111011 0.168884 0.248523
2025-03-09 0.006587 0.017684 0.036541 0.067098 0.111824 0.171648 0.254426